Monthly Archives: October 2012

Ray’s Weather Center Winter Forecast for Western NC

http://www.booneweather.com/Fearless+Forecast/ “This is the 12th Fearless Forecast. In the end, we will conclude that Winter 2012-13 will have: near or slightly above normal snow and slightly below normal temperatures” Below are forecast snow totals for selected Western NC Locations: Cities/Towns … Continue reading

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Fire Cherry Trees Galore on the Mountain Top

It is already clear that it will be a continuous battle on the mountain top to keep it clear from fast growing cherry trees. A detailed description of the enemy can be found here: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prunus_pensylvanica The only thing good about … Continue reading

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Yellow Face-A Plott Balsam Peak to be Made Bald Again

http://www.smokymountainnews.com/outdoors/item/9123-students-lend-a-helping-held-to-bald-restoration “A group of Western Carolina University students lent a hand to help restore the open balds on the summit of Yellow Face, a peak off the Blue Ridge Parkway in the Plott Balsams.  The once open, grassy summit has … Continue reading

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Peregrine Falcons on Mount Lyn Lowry

On both of our trips recently to the property, we spotted a pair of peregrine falcons hanging out in the neighborhood.  At times, they seemed quite curious of us but most of the time the falcons just ignored us as they raced … Continue reading

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Western NC Webcam Network

This site is nice web cam interface for the area: http://www.weatherwebcams.org/ Another way of getting ground truth in current weather conditions.  A local favorite is the Purchase Knob web cam run by the National Park Service. Here is today’s sunrise … Continue reading

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North Carolina Yearly Rainfall to Date

Per this site..the Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service http://water.weather.gov/precip/ The total estimated rainfall this year ending October 18 is shown below. Note the estimated 70″+ near the SC border in the typical areas affected by upslope flow.  The map estimates as much as … Continue reading

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Wind Storm Verification Check

Looking at Hi-Res guidance this morning which shows a 35 knot(40 mph) sustained wind at ridge top levels. Velocity Azimuth Display product from the Knoxville, Morristown TN radar site also suggests 35 knots winds on area peaks.   A much stronger low-level jet just … Continue reading

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I read this morning’s NWS Greer’s Forecast discussion: http://kamala.cod.edu/sc/latest.fxus62.KGSP.html What caught my eye was this part, “EVEN THOUGH THERE COULD BE SOME GUSTY AND POSSIBLY STRONG  RIDGE TOP LEVEL WINDS…DO NOT EXPECT ANY OF THESE TO MIX DOWN WITH THE INVERSION IN … Continue reading

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Trip Report #2 October 11-14 Trip

Had another good trip to the property. Arrived Thursday morning and was greeted to the beautiful undercast depicted above. Stayed in Maggie Valley at motels during the evening and up top during the day. Got a crazy amount of chain … Continue reading

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Rainfall Total Update

Between September 21 and October 14, 3.65″ was recorded. A new storm hit the property early this morning(October 15th) with some sharp rises noted on local streams. Radar estimates of at least 1″ on the Plott Balsams. Won’t know how … Continue reading

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